Yogi Berra once famously said about his favorite restaurant: “It’s so crowded, no one goes there anymore.” The same could be said about seed-stage investing and today’s venture capital investors.
For several decades, the VC industry has delivered above-average risk-adjusted financial returns, and capital invested in venture capital funds has grown exponentially. While capital has increased, the number of qualified professionals in the VC industry has only grown slightly. The result is that each individual VC professional now manages considerably more capital than before, but their available time has not changed. As a result, almost no professional VC firm can consider initial investments of as little as $50,000 – typical of seed-stage investments – especially when these investments may well require similar time commitments to those of $5 million. The aggregate result is clearly seen in industry data, which shows a drop in professional VC seed-stage investing of at least 50% over the past ten years.
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